Poverty in Japan 2020

  • Poverty in Japan 2020
    A child and her mother look at a diorama of Tokyo at night made by Lego A/S toy bricks at the Lego Land Discovery Center Tokyo in the capital in June 2012. A confluence of factors that include an aging population, falling birth rates and anachronistic gender dynamics are conspiring to damage women's prospects for a comfortable retirement. | BLOOMBERG
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  • Jan 12, 2020

At first glance, things seem to be getting better for Japanese women.

In an economy thats historically lagged other developed nations when it comes to female workforce participation, a record 71 percent are now employed, an 11 point leap over a decade ago.

The government boasts one of the most generous parental leave laws in the world and recently created a limited full-time worker category aimed primarily at mothers looking to balance job and family. And one of the most important needs for working families child day care is slowly being expanded.

But even with these advantages, Japanese women whether single or married, full-time or part-time face a difficult financial future. A confluence of factors that include an aging population, falling birthrates and anachronistic gender dynamics are conspiring to damage their prospects for a comfortable retirement. According to Seiichi Inagaki, a professor at the International University of Health and Welfare, the poverty rate for older women will more than double over the next 40 years, to 25 percent.

For single, elderly women, he estimated, the poverty rate could reach 50 percent.

In Japan, people live longer than almost anywhere else and birthrates are at their lowest since records began. As a result, the nations working-age population is projected to have declined by 40 percent come 2055.

With entitlement costs skyrocketing, the government has responded by scaling back benefits while proposing to raise the retirement age. Some Japanese responded by moving money out of low-interest bank accounts and into 401(k)-style retirement plans, hoping investment gains might soften the blow. But such a strategy requires savings, and women in Japan are less likely to have any.

Japans gender pay gap is one of the widest among advanced economies. According to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Japanese women make only 73 percent as much as men. Japans demographic crisis is making matters worse: Retired couples who are living longer need an additional $185,000 to survive projected shortfalls in the public pension system, according to a recent government report.

A separate study did the math for Japanese women: They will run out of money 20 years before they die.

Dire pension calculations published by Japans Financial Services Agency in June 2019 caused such an outcry that the government quickly rejected the paper, saying it needlessly worried people. But economic observers said the report was dead-on: Japans pension system is ranked 31st out of 37 nations due in part to underfunding, according to the Melbourne Mercer Global Pension Index.

Takashi Oshio, a professor at the Institute of Economic Research at Hitotsubashi University in Tokyo, said private pensions and market-based retirement investments are now much more important than they once were. Machiko Osawa, a professor at Japan Womens University, was more blunt: The days of being totally dependent on a public pension are over.

But there are additional obstacles for Japanese women. Although 3.5 million of them have entered the workforce since Prime Minister Shinzo Abe took office in 2012, two-thirds are working only part-time.

Japanese men generally see their compensation rise until they reach 60. For women, average compensation stays largely the same from their late twenties to their sixties, a fact attributable to pauses in employment tied to having children or part-time, rather than full-time, work. Since the mid-2000s, part-time employment rates have fallen for women in more than half the countries that make up the OECD. But in Japan, the trend is reversed, with part-time work among women rising over the past 15 years.

One of Abes stated goals is to encourage more women to keep working after giving birth, part of his so-called womenomics initiative. But according to a recent government study, almost 40 percent of women who had full-time jobs when they became pregnant subsequently switched to part-time work or left the workforce.

Machiko Nakajimas employment trajectory is typical of this state of affairs. Nakajima, who used to work full time at a tourism company, left her position at age 31 when she became pregnant.

I had no desire to work while taking care of my kid, she said in an interview. Instead, Nakajima spent a decade raising two children before returning to work. Now 46, the mother of two works as a part-time receptionist at a Tokyo tennis center. Though her husband, who also is 46, has a full time job, Nakajima said she fears for her future, given the faltering pension system.

It makes me wonder how Im going to live the rest of my life, she said.

Its not easy to save for retirement as a part-time worker.

According to government data, the monthly cost of living for a Japanese household with more than two people is ¥287,315 ($2,650). Some 15.7 percent of Japanese households live below the poverty line, which is about $937 per month.

More than 40 percent of part-time working women earn ¥1 million ($9,100) or less a year, according to Japans Internal Affairs and Communications Ministry. The lack of benefits, job security and opportunity for advancement hallmarks of full-time employment in Japan make such women financially vulnerable, particularly if they dont have a partner to share expenses with.

Yanfei Zhou, a researcher at the Japan Institute for Labor Policy & Training and author of a book on the subject, Japans Married Stay-at-Home Mothers in Poverty, contends theres a gap of ¥200 million ($1.28 million) in lifetime income between women who work full-time and women who switch from full-time to part-time at the age of 40.

Its not easy to save for retirement as a part-time worker, she said. Single mothers need to make at least ¥3 million annually, or about $27,600numbers you cant hit if you work part-time.

In Japan, public pensions account for 61 percent of income among elderly households. The system provides basic benefits to all citizens and is funded by workers from age 20 to age 59 and by government subsidies. Many retirees get additional income from company pension plans.

While widows can claim some portion of a deceased spouses pension, the number of unmarried Japanese is steadily rising, having more than tripled since 1980. The latest survey showed the rate for women is 14 percent versus 23 percent for men.

One reason why womens retirement savings is lower than mens is that the lifetime salary is low, said Yoshiko Nakamura, a financial planner and president of Alpha and Associates Inc. Traditionally, many women chose to limit their workload in order to take advantage of social security spousal benefits, and that created many womens jobs that pay less than ¥1 million.

Poverty in Japan 2020
Poverty in Japan 2020
A woman walks past the Roppongi Hills Mori Tower in Tokyo in September 2017. A confluence of factors that include an aging population, falling birth rates and anachronistic gender dynamics are conspiring to damage their prospects for a comfortable retirement. | BLOOMBERG

Japan has historically created incentives for married women to limit their employment to such noncareer track jobs; lower pay means they (and their husbands) can take advantage of spousal deduction benefits. For example, the government gives a ¥380,000 ($3,133) tax deduction to a male worker if his wife earns less than about ¥1.5 million ($13,700) per year.

The private sector does it, too. Many companies give employees a spousal allowance as long as their partner earns less than a certain amount. Some 84 percent of private companies in Japan offer workers about ¥17,282 per month ($159) as long as their spouse earns less than a certain amount annually usually ¥1.5 million, though the ceiling is lower for most companies.

Yumiko Fujino, who works as an administrative assistant, should have been happy when the government raised the minimum wage. But she wasnt: In order for her husband to keep receiving spousal benefits, she had to cut back on her hours.

These limits are known among married women in Japan as the wall. Unless a wife is making enough money on a part-time basis to afford income taxes and forgo spousal benefits, it doesnt make sense to work additional hours. But to work those kind of hours means less time for kids, which is usually the point of working part-time in the first place.

Women who qualify for the spousal benefit, Fujino said, think less about retirement security and more about the current cost of living.

Abes government is considering changes that would require more part-time workers to contribute to the pension program and mandate that smaller companies participate as well. Takero Doi, professor of economics at Keio University, said the expansion would be a small step toward giving women a financial incentive to work more.

Yoko Kamikawa, a former gender equality minister, agreed that the current pension system last updated in the 1980s should be expanded to include part-time workers. Forty years ago, single-income households made up the overwhelming majority in Japan. Since then, Kamikawa said families have become more diverse.

Machiko Osawa, a professor at Japan Womens University, went farther, saying social security should be based around individuals, not households. Marriage doesnt last forever, she said. Women used to rely on their husbands for financial support, but now theres the danger of unemployment, and more men are in jobs where their pay doesnt rise.

Its not easy to save for retirement as a part-time worker.

However, one of the biggest reforms proposed by Abe, limited full-time worker status, doesnt always work as advertised. Limited full-time employees often face the same workload they would if they were full-time. Junko Murata, 43, a mother of two, said juggling both work and taking care of her children proved too difficult, so she eventually returned to a part-time job.

While an increasing number of companies have been giving women the opportunity to work more flexible hours after they return from maternity leave, some women complain of being marginalized, with few opportunities for career growth and advancement.

A government survey released last year offered a bleak outlook. It showed no improvement in gender equality in the workplace, with some 28.4 percent of women saying they are treated equally at work, up only 0.2 percentage points since 2016.

Yasuko Kato, 42, returned to work as a part-time accountant three years ago, but said theres been little change in her responsibilities.

Because she drops off and picks up her kids, she works from 9 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. I have no extra time at work, she said. But because of a chronic staff shortage, she doesnt get any help from full-time employees. As a result, Kato said its difficult to raise my hand for a new role.

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  • Poverty in Japan 2020
  • Poverty in Japan 2020

KEYWORDS

Shinzo Abe, retirement, poverty, women, jobs, aging, elderly

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